| Seat 1: Villain 1 ($55.15 in chips) |
| Seat 2: Villain 2 ($10 in chips) |
Seat 3: Villain 3 ($66.70 in chips) -  |
Seat 4: Villain 4 ($19.40 in chips) -  |
Seat 5: Villain 5 ($50 in chips) -  |
| Seat 6: Villain 6 ($63.65 in chips) |
| Seat 7: Villain 7 ($10 in chips) |
| Seat 8: Hero ($51.25 in chips) |
| Seat 9: Villain 8 ($50 in chips) Sitting Out |
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| PRE-FLOP: |
| Villain 4 posts small blind $0.25 |
| Villain 5 posts big blind $0.50 |
| Dealt To: Hero |
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| FOLD Villain 6 |
| FOLD Villain 7 |
| RAISE Hero ($1.75) |
| FOLD Villain 1 |
| FOLD Villain 2 |
| CALL Villain 3 ($1.75) (63/2/2.1 only 66 hands) He has not showdown very many hands. I have been working toward mixing it up with him but I have medium strength hands where he lit up turn and river and I was forced to fold? In am small sample his call percent on the button is 100 percent.) |
| FOLD Villain 4 |
| FOLD Villain 5 |
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| FLOP: |
| Pot: $4.25 |
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| BET Hero ($4) |
CALL Villain 3 ($4) (I execpt a call here from a ton of his range. I expect a call here all day from his wide range:QQ-88,66,44,A2s+,86s+,76s,A2o+,87o,kxs+)
| Seat 1: Villain 1 ($55.15 in chips) | | Seat 2: Villain 2 ($10 in chips) | | Seat 3: Villain 3 ($66.70 in chips) - | | Seat 4: Villain 4 ($19.40 in chips) - | | Seat 5: Villain 5 ($50 in chips) - | | Seat 6: Villain 6 ($63.65 in chips) | | Seat 7: Villain 7 ($10 in chips) | | Seat 8: Hero ($51.25 in chips) | | Seat 9: Villain 8 ($50 in chips) Sitting Out | | | | | | | | TURN: | | Pot: $12.25 |  
ALL I KEPT THINKING ABOUT WAS THAT 55 hand when fish turned a fd! Then I remembered the set of 5's hand had much more texture. So his range is really much more narrow on this board. | | Hero? ( I hated this card for the action that it kills. If I bet I expect him to continue with ax hands that include a diamond. I can't see him having a set here cause most would raise the flop protecting against the fd. So if I bet am getting a call from Ax and maybe a floated Kx type hand. If I check I run the risk of him checking behind and hitting flush outs or a weird straight. However, I get to keep in bluffs that floated that will bet this turn when I check and medium strength holdings that I can take advantage of on the river.) |
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I think it's just going to be all math based on the turn. I bet something like 8 bucks and if he raises I am basically always putting him on a flush.
ReplyDeleteSo say he raises to 3X that'd be about 24 dollars and you'd have to call 16 more into a pot of 42 dollars so that's like 2.5/1 which is very close, but when you factor in equity, you are always getting his last 20 or so I think it is a call.
However if he ships it in on the turn, we can muck. I think the problem becomes if he flats our turn bet, what do we do on the river? Prolly a pretty good spot for a smallish blocker bet imo, that would get calls from all those Ax hands with a diamond or whatever.